Tuesday, June 24, 2008

When History Rhymes

Traders, talking over the Morgan meeting, failed to remember any previous occasion on which a stock market conference had been called while a trading session was still in progress. They did recall, however, that in 1907, with call money at 125%, Secretary of the Treasury Cortelyou conferred with J. P. Morgan, put $25,000,000 of Government funds into Manhattan banks, halted the Panic. They remembered too the Northern Pacific crash of 1901 when, after Northern Pacific stock had gone overnight from $150 to $1,000 a share, the House of Morgan, representing the late great James J. Hill and the House of Kuhn, Loeb, representing the late great Edward H. Harriman, compromised at $150 a share, saved from ruin many a short. Then there was the U. S.-England war scare of 1895 when, with money at 80%, J. P. Morgan offered money at 6%, averted a threatened crash. Thus bankers have for a long time recognized their responsibilities as panic-preventers, and when the glass house of speculation has cracked and splintered, it has most often been the strong House of Morgan that has assumed the responsibility of fame and brought order out of confusion.
— From "Bankers v. Panic,"
Time magazine, November 4, 1929



Thinking back to the Bear Stearns debacle in March 2008: Once more we saw the Federal Reserve, when caught in a bind, turning to J.P. Morgan (Chase) for assistance.

Best of pals, those two.

So history doesn't always repeat. But it surely does rhyme.

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— Posted by Michael @ 9:08 AM








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